14 films will gather together for National Day. Who will win and lose?

this year's National Day holiday can be said to be the fiercest year in history, and the war is about to begin.

original title: 14 movies gathered in the National Day stalls, who will win?

this year's National Day holiday can be said to be the most competitive year in history.

although John Woo's "manhunt" has been withdrawn, it has been changed to November 24. But for now, 14 new films will be released in the three days from September 29 to October 1.

plus the Portrait of the Mother on October 4 and the roaring Youth on October 5, there are a total of 16.

among them, there are Feng Xiaogang's "Fang Hua", Wang Jing's "the Legend of the Devil" and "chasing the Dragon", Dapeng's "Sewing Machine Band", Li Chen's first cross-border director, "empty Heaven Hunt". There are "Charlotte annoyance", "Donkey gets Water", the behind-the-scenes team Happy Ma Hua's "shy Iron fist", and the sequel "BFF 2". There are IP films "the Light of Psychological Crime" starring Deng Chao, Ruan Jingtian and Liu Shishi, "the Battle of England" starring Jackie Chan, Pierce Brosnan and Liu Tao, and "Ultimate pursuit" starring Orlando Bloom, Wu Lei and Ren Dahua.

there are also four domestic animations: Kunta: inverted Planet, good-bye Altman of the Iron Dragon, wreaking havoc in Heaven, and Legend of the Sword.

in previous National Day festivals, there were only three or four popular new films to share the market.

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under such fierce competition, the filmmakers of popular movies are working hard to promote and strive for cinema scheduling. After all, the box office in the first three days is directly related to the number of screenings, and the publicity and popularity of the film is the most direct reference for cinema managers.

but if a film with high popularity in the early stage is released with poor reputation and low attendance, the number of films will be quickly reduced. Movies with good reputation and high attendance will bounce up and make a steady return over a long period of time. Judging from the general trend in the past two years, word-of-mouth plays the most direct role in how much a popular commercial film can earn. This year's dark horse "wrestle!" "Dad" and "Wolf Warriors 2" are examples.

so, of the more than ten movies mentioned above, which are good and which are bad?

according to the news revealed by the media, so far, only Feng Xiaogang's "Fanghua", Dapeng's "Sewing Machine Band" and Li Chen's "empty Sky Hunt" have been released on a small scale in advance, and "Fanghua" has also made its world premiere at the Toronto Film Festival.

"empty Sky Hunt" is not a finished film, and the special effects, sound effects and color blending have not been finished yet, so it is difficult to evaluate. "Fanghua" and "Sewing Machine Band" have a good reputation and are well received by most people.

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Fanghua is actually a youth film, which tells the story of several girls and boys in the army art troupe when Feng Xiaogang was young. They come from families of different classes, and in that special era, their ultimate destinies are very different.

the biggest difference between this film and other vulgar domestic youth films is that it does not deliberately delude and beautify youth, and the emotion and fate of the characters are very real, which can make the audience believe and be touched. Popularly speaking, it is a story that "good people are not necessarily rewarded, and the children of the power class have a smooth journey." it is a cruel youth.

the oppression and distortion of human nature and emotion, the conflict between collectivism and individualism, although these times are only" dabbling ", Feng Xiaogang has also been filmed in the film.

except Huang Xuan, several girls have chosen new roles, and their performances have exceeded expectations. After watching them, you will probably say that Feng Xiaogang has a good eye.

as an old director who has made so many films, Feng Xiaogang's scene scheduling, the shooting of dance and the shooting of war scenes are all above the standard, and there is no problem that the whole work satisfies the general audience.

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the core of Sewing Machine Band, like Pancake Man, is about dreams. It's just that this time it's "rock music".

once the hometown of rock and roll, the northeastern town of Ji'an, now the rock park is going to be destroyed because some developers want to take the land. A fat loser with a musical dream wants to save the big guitar sculpture that symbolizes the rock spirit in the park. He plans to form a band and hold a sensational concert to convince the government that Ji'an 's rock is not dead and that the big guitar cannot be destroyed. So he paid for a well-known agent as far away as Beijing, who had disbanded Ji'an 's most famous rock band. This once brilliant band was the spiritual pillar and performance of fat losers, and planted the seeds of dreams in his heart.

Dapeng, who comes from the grassroots, is very good at dealing with the theme of" small potatoes and big dreams ". Moreover, he can make a story that is actually very commonplace with comedy, funny and emotional sustenance. Moreover, Dapeng, who has always loved music and did not give up music, understands music, and the songs in the movies and the way the band performs are very attractive.

Comedy, coupled with popular music themes and the foundation of Pancake Man, Sewing Machine Band is not expected to be bad at the box office.

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but judging from the previous heat, Fanghua and Sewing Machine Band are not in the front.

in the ranking of the number of people who want to see tickets, the highest is "best friend 2", which has attracted more than 233000 people, and the second is "Iron fist of shyness", which has attracted more than 226000 people. The others are "City Light of Psychological Crime", "British duel", "Ultimate pursuit", "empty Sky Hunt", "Fanghua", "Legend of falling Demons", "Sewing Machine Band" and "chasing Dragons".

on the cat's eye. Best friend 2 has disappeared from the National Day stalls, so the first place is the Iron fist of shyness, which 168000 people want to see, and the second is the Light of the City of Psychological Crime, which nearly 109000 people want to see. The others are "English duel", "Legend of falling Demons", "Sky Hunt", "Fanghua", "Sewing Machine Band", "Ultimate pursuit", "Kunta: reverse Planet", "chasing Dragon".

overall If "best friend 2" withdraws, the current popularity of "Iron fist of Shame", "Light of the City of Psychological Crime" and "British showdown" will be in the first echelon. "empty Sky Hunt", "Fanghua", "Sewing Machine Band" and "Legend of Demons" can be ranked in the second echelon.

however, the final box office depends on word of mouth. The era of relying solely on stars, themes and popularity is becoming a thing of the past.

Edit: mary